How much money do you need to retire? The number keeps rising

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How much money do you need to retire? The more Americans think about it, the higher the number goes.

According to a new Northwestern Mutual Planning & Progress Study, the average “magic number” has risen to $1.46 million. The average preretiree’s savings are minuscule in comparison.

Not surprisingly, the retirement “magic number” has jumped more than 15% from last year, increasing by roughly $200,000 as financial pressures mount. 

The latest data highlight how inflation, longer life expectancies, and uncertainty around Social Security and the broader economy are reshaping retirement expectations. 

Despite the rising target, many Americans remain far from reaching it. Nearly half say they do not expect to be financially prepared for retirement, reflecting a persistent gap between savings goals and actual progress.

Why a long life could be a problem

The study also found widespread concern about longevity risk. About half of the respondents believe it is at least somewhat likely they will outlive their savings, reinforcing anxiety about whether retirement funds will last. 

Generational differences remain pronounced. Younger Americans, including millennials and Gen Z, tend to estimate they will need even more than the national average, while older adults report lower targets but greater concern about readiness. 

Economic conditions are a key driver of these higher expectations. Persistent inflation has raised the cost of living, while health care expenses and longer retirements continue to push savings targets upward. 

Financial advisors say the findings underscore the growing complexity of retirement planning. Traditional benchmarks — such as replacing a percentage of pre-retirement income — may not fully account for unpredictable costs, leaving many Americans unsure how much is enough.